Tipping Point 2026: Keith Kaplan's Flash Crash Screener

Tipping Point 2026 is a high‑stakes, one‑time live event where 50‑year Wall Street legend Marc Chaikin and TradeSmith CEO Keith Kaplan lay out why they believe a Great Bear Market has a 65% chance of hitting in 2026—and how their new Flash Crash Screener and sell‑timing system can help you sidestep sudden portfolio‑wrecking crashes and still target big gains in what could be the most volatile year investors have faced in decades.

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Tipping Point 2026 Review: Is Marc Chaikin’s Great Bear Market Warning Worth Your Time?

Tipping Point 2026 is positioned as one of the most important free online events of 2025 for anyone with money in U.S. stocks.

Led by 50‑year Wall Street veteran Marc Chaikin and TradeSmith CEO Keith Kaplan, the broadcast centers on a bold claim: there is now a roughly 65% chance that 2026 will usher in a new Great Bear Market, with average market declines of around 20% and much steeper drops in specific stocks—often via sudden “Flash Crashes.”

Rather than simply sounding the alarm, the event promises a practical, tool‑driven plan to help investors avoid catastrophic losses and still pursue triple‑digit gains in the turbulent year ahead.

The Core Premise: A Critical Turning Point Before 2026

At its heart, Tipping Point 2026 is built around the idea that December represents a genuine tipping point for millions of portfolios.

Chaikin argues that, after three years of extraordinary gains and multiple policy shocks, the market is entering a fragile late‑cycle phase where volatility is likely to escalate rather than fade. Drawing on more than 100 years of historical data, he contends that current conditions rhyme with previous eras that preceded major downturns, and that the window to prepare—without selling in panic—may be measured in weeks, not years.

What makes the event compelling is that Chaikin is not speaking in vague terms. He openly states his probability estimate, the magnitude of decline he expects, and the kind of damage he believes will be done to unprepared investors. That clarity, combined with his multi‑decade record of calling inflection points, is a big part of what separates Tipping Point 2026 from generic “crash is coming” content.

Who Are the Experts Behind the Event?

Marc Chaikin’s Track Record and Credibility

Marc Chaikin is a familiar name in professional circles for good reason. Over five decades, he has:

Survived nine bear markets and advised or worked with high‑profile traders like Paul Tudor Jones, George Soros, Michael Steinhardt, and Steve Cohen.
Created a money‑flow indicator embedded in every Bloomberg and Reuters terminal, used to track institutional buying and selling across thousands of stocks.
Built the Chaikin Power Gauge, a quantitative stock‑rating system now followed by hundreds of thousands of retail investors around the world.

In recent years, he has also built a reputation for making high‑profile annual calls:

Early 2022: warned that the post‑COVID bull run was nearing exhaustion about 90 days before stocks rolled into a bear market.
Early 2023: predicted an “extraordinary recovery” and 20%+ upside before the S&P 500 went on to gain about 26% that year.
Early 2024: issued a bullish S&P forecast that ended up more accurate than forecasts from roughly 20 major Wall Street institutions.
Early 2025: warned of a violent shift shortly before the S&P plunged roughly 19% following a tariff‑driven selloff.

This record doesn’t guarantee he’ll be right about 2026, but it explains why CNBC’s Jim Cramer has said he “almost never” wants to be on the other side of a Chaikin trade and why a large audience takes his cycle work seriously.

Keith Kaplan and the TradeSmith Edge

Keith Kaplan, the CEO of TradeSmith, brings a complementary skill set: systematic sell‑timing and risk management. TradeSmith’s software is designed to tell investors when to exit positions and when the broader market is entering dangerous territory, using proprietary Bear Market Alerts and customized Sell Signals for individual stocks.

Backtests and live signals from TradeSmith’s systems show how they would have:

Issued a Bear Market Alert for the U.S. market in February 2020, ahead of a roughly 25% decline in the S&P 500.
Flagged risk in late 2007, before the financial crisis and a drop of more than 50% in the S&P.
Warned near the top of the dot‑com boom in 2000, before a near‑40% index drawdown.

At the single‑stock level, TradeSmith’s smart Sell Alerts would have signaled exits in some of the worst casualties of each crash—airlines in 2020, major banks in 2008, and leading tech names like Cisco Systems, Intel, and Qualcomm in 2000—well before they reached their deepest losses. In Tipping Point 2026, Kaplan applies this experience to a new environment where AI‑driven trading and headline‑reactive flows make markets more prone to sudden air pockets and short, brutal crashes.

Event Structure: What Actually Happens on December 16?

Live Presentation and Educational Framework

On December 16 at 10 a.m. Eastern, Tipping Point 2026 begins with a live, structured presentation. Chaikin opens by walking viewers through long‑term historical data, explaining:

Why sentiment, valuation, and macro conditions suggest the current bull market is in a late and vulnerable stage.
How similar patterns in past decades tended to resolve in meaningful downturns within a relatively short window.
Why he places the odds of a 2026 bear market at roughly 65%, with an average 20% decline in the major indexes.

Kaplan then takes over to outline how the structure of the market has changed since the COVID crash, highlighting the rise of algorithmic and AI‑driven strategies that can accelerate selloffs. He explains why this “new normal” increases the risk of Flash Crashes—sharp, short‑term price collapses in individual names that can devastate portfolios even before the broader market has officially turned.

Demonstration of the New Flash Crash Screener

The centerpiece of the event is the debut of a new software tool, the Flash Crash Screener.

During the live broadcast, Chaikin and Kaplan show:

How the Screener ingests market and technical data to identify stocks at elevated risk of a sudden drop.
Examples of recent names where the system would have flashed a warning—such as The Trade Desk and Bath & Body Works—before declines of around 30–45% in a matter of weeks.
How the Screener differentiates between genuine Flash‑Crash risk (red lightning bolt) and names that appear stable or potentially poised for fast upside (green lightning bolt).

They also highlight backtests where the same framework would have pinpointed 147 different stocks in 2025 that delivered open gains of 100% or more, including an 873% move in Zepp Health in 99 days, simply by buying the right signals and exiting on the system’s sell alerts. The message is clear: the same tools used to avoid portfolio “landmines” can also be used to target major winners, even in a volatile environment.

Pre‑Event and Bonus Features: What You Get for Registering

Lite Access to the Flash Crash Screener

One of the strongest selling points of Tipping Point 2026 is that registration unlocks a lite beta of the Flash Crash Screener before the event goes live. In the run‑up to December 16, registrants can:

Enter up to 10 stock tickers they own or are considering.
See an immediate signal—red lightning bolt for elevated Flash‑Crash risk, green for no warning and potential short‑term strength.

This hands‑on access lets investors see the tool in action on their own portfolios rather than only in canned examples, and it encourages them to think critically about which holdings might be more vulnerable than they appear. The beta access is temporary and ends when the live broadcast begins.

Five Urgent Daily Sell Alerts

In the days leading up to the event, registrants receive a five‑part series of urgent daily sell alerts. Each alert focuses on one stock that the Flash Crash Screener has flagged as high priority for potential near‑term downside—candidates that could experience a sharp selloff even before 2026 starts. For investors who are not yet ready to overhaul their entire strategy, these alerts serve as immediate, practical steps to reduce risk at the margin.

$599 Live‑Only Report on 26 Popular Stocks

A standout bonus is the promise of a $599 live‑only report covering 26 of the most widely held stocks in the market. Before the event, registrants can submit tickers they are most concerned about; Marc and Keith then compile the most commonly requested names into a single report. During the broadcast, attendees are given access to the finished analysis, which labels each stock a BUY or SELL before 2026 based on the new software’s readings and the experts’ interpretation.

Importantly, this report is only distributed to viewers who are present when the event is live; it is not emailed afterward, reposted publicly, or sold separately. That scarcity is a powerful incentive to watch the event from start to finish.

VIP Upgrade and “Flash Alerts” Report

For viewers who opt to provide a U.S. mobile number, there is a VIP upgrade that adds:

Text message reminders to ensure they don’t miss the start of the broadcast or their bonuses.
A free report titled “3 Flash Alerts You Must See Now,” naming three stocks that have already triggered critical warnings in the new system.

VIPs receive regular promotional and event‑specific SMS messages but can opt out at any time.

Pros: Why Tipping Point 2026 Stands Out

Strong Educational Value for a Free Event

Even setting aside the promotional components, Tipping Point 2026 offers a substantial amount of education for a free broadcast. It exposes viewers to:

Long‑term market cycle analysis and how professionals think about late‑stage bull markets.
The mechanics of Flash Crashes and why they are more common in the age of AI‑driven trading.
A practical, rules‑based framework for deciding when to sell stocks and how to avoid the worst losses.

For investors who have never used systematic sell‑timing tools, simply understanding the logic behind Bear Market Alerts and flash‑crash signals can be a valuable step forward.

Concrete, Actionable Outputs

Unlike some vague “crash warning” webinars, Tipping Point 2026 is designed to provide specific outputs:

A list of five high‑priority sell candidates delivered before the event.
The live‑only 26‑stock report with clear BUY/SELL labels.
Two ticker symbols revealed during the broadcast: one to sell before January 1, and one to buy for potential outperformance in early 2026.

Viewers who take notes can walk away with multiple actionable ideas, even if they never purchase any premium product.

Timely Focus on Risk Management

In an environment where many investors remain focused on hot AI stocks and short‑term rallies, Tipping Point 2026 is unapologetically centered on risk management: what to avoid, when to step aside, and how to sidestep outlier losses. That emphasis is particularly relevant if sentiment remains stretched and valuations elevated heading into 2026.

Cons and Caveats: What Viewers Should Keep in Mind

No Guarantee of Accuracy

While Chaikin’s recent calls have been impressive, and TradeSmith’s backtests are persuasive, there is no guarantee that their 2026 bear‑market forecast will prove correct. Markets can change quickly, and even robust indicators can fail. The event itself emphasizes that all investing involves risk and that past results are not indicative of future performance. Viewers should treat the information as one input among many, not as an infallible script.

Potential for Fear‑Driven Decisions

Because the event focuses on crashes, bear markets, and worst‑case scenarios, some investors may be tempted to react emotionally—selling everything or over‑trading based on fear. The more constructive use of Tipping Point 2026 is to integrate its tools into a disciplined plan: adjusting exposure thoughtfully, stress‑testing holdings, and looking for asymmetric opportunities rather than panicking.

Bottom Line: Who Should Consider Attending?

Tipping Point 2026 is likely to be most useful for:

Investors with significant U.S. stock exposure who worry that valuations and volatility may be signaling late‑cycle risk.
Self‑directed investors who want to move beyond gut feel and use more systematic exit rules and risk tools.
Traders and active investors looking for ways to both protect capital and identify high‑potential winners in a choppy, headline‑driven market.

Even skeptics of bold crash calls can gain value by seeing how professionals structure risk‑management frameworks and by using the Flash Crash Screener to stress‑test their own portfolios. Because the event is free and includes substantial live‑only and pre‑event bonuses, the main cost is time and attention.

For investors heading into an uncertain 2026, choosing to do nothing and simply hope that recent gains continue may be the riskiest stance of all.

Tipping Point 2026 offers a chance to hear a detailed, data‑driven bear‑market case from a veteran with a strong track record—and to walk away with specific tools to either act on it or pressure‑test it against your own view of the markets.